Friday, September 30, 2011

Typhoon Quiel - Bagyong Quiel PAGASA Weather Update October 1, 11 a.m.

Typhoon Quiel - PAGASA Weather Update October 1, 11 a.m.


At 11:00 a.m. today, Typhoon Quiel has made landfall over Dinapigue, Isabela.

Typhoon Quiel is estimated based on satellite and surface data at 40 km North of Casiguran, Aurora (16.7°N, 122.2°E) with maximum sustained winds of 160 kph near the center and gustiness of up to 195 kph and is moving West at 26 kph. It is expected to cross Quirino, Nueva Vizcaya, Ifugao, Benguet and will exit La Union this afternoon.


PUBLIC STORM WARNING SIGNAL

Signal No.3 (100-185 kph winds):

Isabela
Northern Aurora
Mt. Province
Ifugao
Nueva Vizcaya
Quirino
Benguet
Ilocos Sur
La Union
Pangasinan


Signal No. 2 (60-100 kph winds):

Cagayan
Apayao
Ilocos Norte
Abra
Kalinga
Rest of Aurora
Nueva Ecija
Tarlac
Pampanga
Zambales
Bulacan
Northern Quezon
Polillo Island


Signal No. 1 (45-60 kph winds):

Rest of Quezon
Camarines Norte
Rizal
Bataan
Cavite
Laguna
Batangas
Lubang Island
Babuyan Is.
Calayan Group of Is.
Metro Manila


WEATHER FORECAST

Sunday morning: 400 km West of Baguio City

Sunday evening: 700 km West of Baguio City


Residents in low lying and mountainous areas under Public Storm Warning Signals are alerted against possible flashfloods and landslides. Likewise, those living in coastal areas are alerted against big waves or storm surges generated by this tropical cyclone.

Typhoon "Quiel" is expected to enhance the Southwest Monsoon and will bring scattered to widespread rains over Southern Luzon.

Estimated total rainfall over Magat Dam catchment during the passage of Typhoon Quiel is 200-400 mm.

Estimated total rainfall over San Roque Dam catchment areas is 100-150 mm over a period of 24 hrs starting 8 AM today

Estimated total rainfall over Angat Dam catchment due to Monsoon is from 80-100 mm starting later today.

Estimated rainfall amount is from 15 - 25 mm per hour within the 500 km diameter of the Typhoon.

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